Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000577 0.000658 0.000743 0.000841 0.000948 0.001063 0.001194
2025-11-16 0.000437 0.000545 0.000668 0.000818 0.000993 0.001190 0.001429
2025-11-23 0.000359 0.000478 0.000619 0.000797 0.001015 0.001269 0.001588
2025-11-30 0.000308 0.000433 0.000589 0.000793 0.001051 0.001362 0.001760
2025-12-07 0.000269 0.000399 0.000565 0.000791 0.001085 0.001448 0.001924
2025-12-14 0.000234 0.000364 0.000538 0.000781 0.001104 0.001514 0.002064
2025-12-21 0.000204 0.000333 0.000511 0.000767 0.001117 0.001569 0.002188
2025-12-28 0.000189 0.000322 0.000510 0.000787 0.001174 0.001683 0.002389
2026-01-04 0.000174 0.000308 0.000503 0.000798 0.001218 0.001780 0.002571
2026-01-11 0.000156 0.000287 0.000486 0.000792 0.001236 0.001842 0.002706
2026-01-18 0.000140 0.000268 0.000468 0.000784 0.001252 0.001899 0.002836
2026-01-25 0.000128 0.000256 0.000460 0.000790 0.001286 0.001982 0.003002
2026-02-01 0.000116 0.000242 0.000448 0.000788 0.001310 0.002052 0.003154
2026-02-08 0.000101 0.000220 0.000422 0.000763 0.001298 0.002071 0.003234
2026-02-15 0.000088 0.000202 0.000401 0.000745 0.001294 0.002099 0.003327
2026-02-22 0.000080 0.000191 0.000389 0.000741 0.001311 0.002160 0.003467
2026-03-01 0.000073 0.000181 0.000380 0.000739 0.001331 0.002224 0.003612
2026-03-08 0.000065 0.000169 0.000366 0.000729 0.001338 0.002267 0.003729
2026-03-15 0.000058 0.000157 0.000351 0.000716 0.001338 0.002300 0.003830
2026-03-22 0.000055 0.000155 0.000354 0.000735 0.001392 0.002416 0.004056
2026-03-29 0.000052 0.000151 0.000353 0.000746 0.001431 0.002511 0.004254
2026-04-05 0.000047 0.000142 0.000342 0.000739 0.001442 0.002562 0.004384
2026-04-12 0.000042 0.000134 0.000332 0.000732 0.001451 0.002608 0.004509